How many of six local economic indicators are improving, minus how many are softening, each over its latest three months compared with a year earlier. Not a forecast.
Indicators improving minus softening: 4 in September 2026. Change from August 2026: −20.0%. From a year earlier: −20.0%.
In the three months to September 2026, 4 more indicators improving than softening. Not a forecast.
Next update: October 2026 figures, expected around Dec 5, 2026.
What this means
The Indicators improving minus softening figure, 4, was 20.0% lower than in September 2025 (5).
| September 2026 | September 2025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indicators improving minus softening | 4 | 5 | −20.0% |
The signals
Overall: improving. 5 of 6 indicators point up, 1 point down and 0 are about the same. This is what the indicators show, not a forecast: each compares its latest three months with the same months a year earlier, and none of them predicts what comes next.
| Indicator | Change | Reads as | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Payroll jobs (Dayton metro), three months to September 2026 | +0.8% from a year earlier | improving | BLS Current Employment Statistics |
| Unemployment rate (Dayton metro), three months to September 2026 | −1.0 points from a year earlier | improving | BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics |
| Initial unemployment claims (Ohio), three months to September 2026 | −12.2% from a year earlier | improving | U.S. Department of Labor, via FRED (OHICLAIMS) |
| Residential building permits (Montgomery, Greene, Miami, Warren), three months to September 2026 | −36.7% from a year earlier | softening | Census Bureau Building Permits Survey |
| New business applications (Ohio), three months to September 2026 | +17.5% from a year earlier | improving | Census Bureau Business Formation Statistics |
| Home sales (Miami Valley), three months to September 2026 | +6.5% from a year earlier | improving | Dayton Report’s MLS data |
Common questions
What is the latest figure for miami Valley economic pulse in Net?
Indicators improving minus softening: 4 in September 2026, from the Dayton Report.
How has the figure for miami Valley economic pulse in Net changed over the past year?
It was 4 in September 2026, against 5 in September 2025 (−20.0%).
How often is the figure for miami Valley economic pulse updated?
Monthly, from the Dayton Report. Next update: October 2026 figures, expected around Dec 5, 2026.
Related data
- Unemployment rate
- Jobs in the Dayton metro
- Average weekly wage
- Average hourly earnings
- Median household income
About this data
Six indicators: Dayton-metro payroll jobs and unemployment rate (BLS), initial unemployment claims for Ohio (U.S. Department of Labor, through FRED), residential building permits in Montgomery, Greene, Miami and Warren counties (Census Bureau), new business applications in Ohio (Census Bureau), and Miami Valley home sales (our MLS data). Each is compared over its latest three months with the same three months a year earlier, which removes the seasons. More jobs, permits, applications and sales, or fewer unemployed and fewer claims, count as improving; a change below the threshold counts as about the same. The figure charted is the number improving minus the number softening, from −6 to +6; "improving" means clearly more up than down, "softening" the reverse, "mixed" anything else. It describes the recent past and isn’t a forecast.
Source: Dayton Report, Composite of BLS, Census Bureau, U.S. Department of Labor and MLS data. Updated November 11, 2026, monthly. Download the data (CSV).