Compiled from published polls and published race ratings, each linked to its source. Dayton Report does not conduct polls, forecast races or call winners from polls.
Polls are a snapshot, not a prediction; results tonight are what count. Polls close at 7:30 p.m. Unofficial results for Ohio’s races and Montgomery County will post at daytonreport.com/montgomery-county-election-results as counting begins.
How this roundup works
For each race, the polls listed are those released publicly by the pollster or a news organization, with the pollster, sponsor, field dates, sample and margin of error as published. Where at least 3 independent polls (not paid for by a campaign, party, political action committee, advocacy group or trade group) ended their field work in the 30 days before Election Day, the roundup shows a simple average of them, counting only each pollster’s latest poll. Undecided and other responses are left as published, so averages don’t add to 100. Race ratings are quoted as each forecaster published them, and only where the forecaster’s own page could be checked.
Governor and lieutenant governor
On the ballot: Amy Acton (D), Vivek Ramaswamy (R), Don Kissick (Libertarian).
Average of 10 independent polls with field dates ending Oct 6 to Nov 1: Amy Acton 49%, Vivek Ramaswamy 45%. Not every poll asked about Don Kissick, so that candidate has no average.
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Margin of error | Amy Acton | Vivek Ramaswamy | Don Kissick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | Oct 30 to Nov 1 | 450 LV | ±4.6 | 53% | 46% | n/a |
| Siena Research Institute for The New York Times | released Nov 1 | n/a | ±4.4 | 49% | 43% | n/a |
| InsiderAdvantage | Oct 29 to Oct 30 | 1,200 LV | ±2.83 | 49% | 46% | n/a |
| YouGov | Oct 26 to Oct 29 | 2,090 LV | ±2.8 | 52% | 46% | n/a |
| Suffolk University for USA Today Network | Oct 21 to Oct 26 | 500 LV | ±4.4 | 48% | 44% | 3.6% |
| Echelon Insights for NetChoice (sponsored by an interested group; not averaged) | Oct 16 to Oct 23 | 508 LV | ±5.2 | 45% | 47% | 4% |
| Verasight for VoteHub | Oct 1 to Oct 20 | 531 LV | ±4.2 | 46.2% | 45.4% | n/a |
| Beacon Research and Shaw & Company for Fox News | Oct 15 to Oct 19 | 1,592 LV | ±2 | 50% | 48% | n/a |
| Marist Poll | Oct 15 to Oct 18 | n/a | ±4.5 | 50% | 43% | n/a |
| BGSU and YouGov | Sep 29 to Oct 9 | 1,000 LV | ±3.95 | 50% | 44% | n/a |
| co/efficient | Oct 5 to Oct 6 | 925 LV | ±3.49 | 43% | 45% | 3% |
Published race ratings: Fox News Power Rankings, Lean D (Nov. 1).
Research Co. figures are among decided voters; Verasight’s include voters leaning toward a candidate. Pollsters’ own descriptions of their methods are in each linked release.
U.S. Senate (special election, term ending Jan. 3, 2029)
On the ballot: Sherrod Brown (D), Jon Husted (R), Greg Levy (other party), William B. Redpath (Libertarian).
Average of 11 independent polls with field dates ending Oct 6 to Nov 1: Sherrod Brown 48%, Jon Husted 45.2%. Not every poll asked about Greg Levy or William B. Redpath, so they have no average.
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Margin of error | Sherrod Brown | Jon Husted | Greg Levy | William B. Redpath |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | Oct 30 to Nov 1 | 450 LV | ±4.6 | 49% | 48% | n/a | n/a |
| Siena Research Institute for The New York Times | released Nov 1 | n/a | ±4.4 | 49% | 44% | n/a | n/a |
| Rasmussen Reports | Oct 27 to Oct 31 | 1,119 LV | ±3 | 46% | 46% | 2% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage | Oct 29 to Oct 30 | 1,200 LV | ±2.83 | 49% | 47% | n/a | n/a |
| YouGov | Oct 26 to Oct 29 | 2,090 LV | ±2.8 | 50% | 48% | n/a | n/a |
| Suffolk University for USA Today Network | Oct 21 to Oct 26 | 500 LV | ±4.4 | 46.6% | 43.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| Echelon Insights for NetChoice (sponsored by an interested group; not averaged) | Oct 16 to Oct 23 | 508 LV | ±5.2 | 47% | 47% | 2% | 1% |
| Verasight for VoteHub | Oct 1 to Oct 20 | 531 LV | ±4.2 | 47.5% | 43.6% | n/a | n/a |
| Beacon Research and Shaw & Company for Fox News | Oct 15 to Oct 19 | 1,592 LV | ±2 | 52% | 47% | n/a | n/a |
| Marist Poll | Oct 15 to Oct 18 | n/a | ±4.5 | 48% | 44% | n/a | n/a |
| BGSU and YouGov | Sep 29 to Oct 9 | 1,000 LV | ±3.95 | 48% | 42% | n/a | n/a |
| co/efficient | Oct 5 to Oct 6 | 925 LV | ±3.49 | 43% | 44% | 3% | 1% |
Published race ratings: Fox News Power Rankings, Lean D (Nov. 1).
Verasight’s figures include voters leaning toward a candidate; co/efficient’s are from its full-field question.
State Issue 3 (photo ID to vote)
On the ballot: Yes, No.
Fewer than 3 independent public polls were released in the final 30 days, too few to average fairly, so the polls are listed below without an average.
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Margin of error | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights for NetChoice (sponsored by an interested group; not averaged) | Oct 16 to Oct 23 | 508 LV | ±5.2 | 70% | 28% |
| Suffolk University for USA Today Network | Sep 23 to Sep 27 | 500 LV | ±4.4 | 61% | 31% |
Attorney general
On the ballot: Keith Faber (R), John J. Kulewicz (D).
No public polls of this race were found.
The only polls of this race found were released by a candidate’s campaign over the summer, and they aren’t listed here.
Secretary of state
On the ballot: Robert Sprague (R), Allison Russo (D), Tom Pruss (Libertarian).
No public polls of this race were found.
Auditor of state
On the ballot: Frank LaRose (R), Annette Blackwell (D).
No public polls of this race were found.
Treasurer of state
On the ballot: Jay Edwards (R), Seth Walsh (D).
No public polls of this race were found.
Ohio Supreme Court (term starting Jan. 1, 2027)
On the ballot: Daniel R. Hawkins (R), Marilyn Zayas (D).
No public polls of this race were found.
Ohio Supreme Court (term starting Jan. 2, 2027)
On the ballot: Jennifer Brunner (D), Colleen O’Donnell (R).
No public polls of this race were found.
U.S. House, Ohio’s 10th District (Dayton area)
On the ballot: Mike Turner (R), Kristina Knickerbocker (D), Thomas McMasters (Libertarian).
Fewer than 3 independent public polls were released in the final 30 days, too few to average fairly, so the polls are listed below without an average.
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Margin of error | Mike Turner | Kristina Knickerbocker | Thomas McMasters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group for a Democratic campaign memo (sponsored by an interested group; not averaged) | Jul 20 to Jul 23 | 700 LV | ±3.7 | 45% | 40% | 4% |
| FM3 Research for House Majority PAC (sponsored by an interested group; not averaged) | Jul 6 to Jul 12 | n/a | n/a | 48% | 41% | n/a |
Both published polls of this race were paid for by Democratic groups in July; no independent poll was found.
Sources are linked in each race. Margins of error apply to each candidate’s share, so the gap between two candidates carries a larger margin. Polls of likely voters, registered voters and adults are not directly comparable.
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